STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT’S EXPENDITURE AND REVENUE
(A CASE STUDY OF NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS,) FROM THE 2003 – 2008.
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ABSTRACT
This research work was aimed at carrying out statistical analysis of federal government’s revenue and expenditure 2003-2008. Secondary data was obtained from National Bureau of Statistics. The statistical package used is Mintab. The result of the analysis shows that there is positive and strong relationship between expenditure and revenue 0.938 and the regression equation is expenditure = 123 + 0.367 revenue. The regression equation shows that when the revenue increase, the expenditure also increases.
CHAPTER ONE:
INTRODUCTION
1.0 Introduction
1.1 Historical Background of the Study
1.2 Aims of the Study
1.3 Objectives of the Study
1.4 Scope of the Study
1.5 Definition of terms
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW AND STATISCAL TOOL(S)
2.0 Introduction
2.1 Nigerian Economy and oil ….
2.2. Inflation in Nigerian economy
2.3 Effect of the global economic meltdown on the Nigeria economy
2.4 Consolidation in the banking system
2.5 Capital base and bank soundness
2.6 Statistical tools
CHAPTER THREE; METHODOLOGY
3.0 Introduction
3.1 Methods of data collection
3.2 Problems encountered in data collection
3.3 Data presentation
CHAPTER FOUR: DATA ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION OF THE RESULTS
4.0 Introduction
4.1 Data analysis
4.2 Discussion of result
CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
5.0 Introduction
5.1 Summary
5.2 Conclusion
5.3 Recommendation
CHAPTER ONE
1.0 INTRODUCTION
Public finance is a field of economics concerned with how government raises money, how that money is spent and the effect of these activities on the economy and on the society.
Expenditure and revenue of the country fall under the topic, public finance. However, in a developing economy like Nigeria, management of moderate deficit financing is tailored toward useful and development oriented projects. This necessitated me to focus attention on the amount of expenditure and revenue generated in Nigeria over the past years.
Government generates revenue from various economic sectors: these are divided into oil and non-oil revenue:
- Oil Revenue: This is the revenue generated from oil sectors of the economy which comprise:
- Petroleum profit tax and royalties
- Others which include revenue from export sales, domestics sales, tax on petroleum products, rents etc.
- Non Oil Revenue: This is revenue generated from other sectors of the economy other than the oil sector which comprises of:
- Company income tax
- Custom and exercise duties
- Value added tax (V.A.T)
- Federal government independent revenue which comprises revenue from interest payments rents on government properties, personal income tax of armed forces, police, external affair and federal capital residents
- Other which include custom levies, education tax etc.
The revenue generated from different sectors of the economy is allocated to:
- Federation accounts which include transfer to federation accounts from domestic oil sales
- Value added tax (VAT) pool accounts
- AFEM surplus account
- Petroleum Trust Fund
- JVC Payment account
- External debt service funds
- National priority projects fund
- Other which include transfers to special and excess reserves and education fund
The revenue generated from various sectors of the economy is spent on:
- Administration which comprises of:
- General administration
- Defence
- Internal security
- National assembly
- Economic services which include
- Agriculture
- Roads and construction
- Transport and communication
- Other economic services
- Social and community services which are:
- Education
- Health
- Others
- Transfers
- Public debt charges
- Domestic
- Foreign
- Pension and gratuities
- F.C.T and others
1.1 HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
The National Bureau of statistics (NBS) has a humble beginning starting in 1928 as a statistics unit in the office of the colonial secretary in the cabinet secretariat of British Colonial administration.
In 1947 a more focused reorganization took place with the establishment of a statistics section in the department of customs and exercise which later metamorphosed into a full pledged department of statistics.
In 1949, the departments responsibilities were expanded to form the nucleus of a centralized national statistics office for the country with the adoption of the federal system of government in 1968 central and the regional government had their statistics establishments incorporated into a decentralized National Statistics System (NSS). A legal frame work for statistics operation in Nigeria was unable with the statistics act of 1937. The act gave backing for a decentralized statistical system but advocated collaboration between the central and regional statistical office in addition to co-ordinate their activities.
At independence in 1960, the department of statistics was moved from customs and excuse to the Federal Ministry of Economic Development with its name changed to the federal office of statistics (FOS) in the 1980s further re-organization of the Nigeria statistics system (NSS) led to the Central Bank of Nigeria taking on the collection of financial statistics and the National Population Commission given the responsibility of population statistics including the conduct of census length and collection of vital statistics like birth and death registrations and immigration statistics, as well as the conduct of demography and health surveys.
In 1989, a wholly computerized data management agency was established called National Data Bank (NDB). NDB is a data house, was designed to hold time series data dating back to 1914 when Nigeria was created. The agencies FOS and NDB maintained a complex and over lapping relationship with other members of the National Statistical Offices (NSO) itself. Reforms started the repositioning of the federal office of statistics (FOS) in 2004 when it was merged with the National Data Bank. The reforms in driver by the statistical master plan (SMP) produced by the Federal Government of Nigeria with assistance from the World Bank.
The merged of FOS and NDB led to the establishment of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) to give the agency a National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) to give the agency a National outlook as the apex statistical agency for all the three tiers of government. NBS is expected to co-ordinate system of the production of official statistics all the federal ministries departments and agencies (MDAS), state statistical agencies (SAS) and local government council (LGC). The 1957 statistics act has been repeated and a new bill has been passed to give NBS a legal backing.
1.2 AIM OF THE STUDY
To conduct a statistical study into public finance of the federation, that is revenue and expenditure of the federal government of Nigeria (2003-2008) using regression analysis.
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